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IMF警告称贸易失衡料抑制经济增长

  国际货币基金组织(IMF)近日表示,全球贸易失衡几乎没有显现减少迹象,该趋势可能会抑制全球经济增长。

  IMF在其年度对外部门报告中表示,去年经常账户余额相当于全球GDP的3.25%,与前年基本持平,该报告评估了全球各大经济体的贸易状况和汇率。IMF表示:“在政策举动对外部均衡不利之际,世界主要经济体庞大且持续过度的外部失衡会给全球稳定带来风险。”

  美国方面,IMF认为,美国减税和增加政府支出的举动推动借贷利率上升、美元走强、美国经常账户赤字不断扩大。IMF称,这些趋势可能会造成紧张的贸易局势加剧,并且可能通过利率上升速度快于预期而扰乱新兴市场。

  IMF认为,从中期看,持续的经常账户赤字可能会限制全球经济增长,导致急剧且具破坏性的货币和资产价格调整。

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